MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, August 14, 2020, due to the presence of Invest 96L 2020 that will likely form into a tropical cyclone over the Atlantic Ocean.
Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with the low pressure area located about 300 miles south-southwest of Nantucket, Massachusetts has become better organized (marked with a red “X”).
Recent satellite wind data show that the circulation is becoming better defined, with winds to near gale force to the southeast of the center.
NHC forecasters say that if current trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form later today or tonight.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to move east-northeastward well to the southeast of New England and to the south of the Canadian Maritime provinces.
If Invest 96L becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Names List is Kyle.
Invest 96L has a 70% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 70% chance within the next 48 hours.
Spaghetti models are in strong agreement that Invest 96L will move east-northeastward across over the open Atlantic.
The European model (orange triangle) and UK model (blue) forecast that the system will be short-lived.
The GFS American model (purple square) forecasts that the system will remain intact and continue over the Atlantic about halfway between North America and Europe.
NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.